U.S. Retail Sales, Fed Outlook, and Import Costs Paint Mixed Picture for Traders


Import price firm led by fuel and industrial goods

US import price index In July, there was an increase of 0.4%, reversing a two -month fall. Fuel import prices led the increase with 2.7%monthly gain – petroleum 2.4%, natural gas up to 4.7%. Nonphine import prices have upgraded 0.3%, which reflect high costs for industrial supply, consumer goods and capital goods. Year to year, overall import prices were still 0.2% lower, which was run by 12.1% fall in fuel prices. Meanwhile, export prices increased by just 0.1% in a month, supporting non -agricultural goods profit.

Export Benefits slows down as external demand levels

After an increase of 0.5% in June, export prices increased by only 0.1% in July. Agricultural exports were flat in the month, while non -agricultural commodities -especially motor vehicles and capital goods were provided some lifts. Year by year, export prices increased by 2.2%, inspired by strengthening prices in industrial and manufactured goods. However, destination-based data reflects the fall in prices for Japan and flat results for Mexico, suggest uneven global demand.

Outlook: Carefully boom, but the fed path remains unclear

Combination of strong retail data, a reversal in regional manufacturing, and firming import costs suggest that there is a continuous economic flexibility. However, rebounding and supply availability with fuel prices are still tight, the input cost can put pressure on the margin. For traders, the short-term bias remains carefully rapid, supported by improving business sentiments and stable consumer expenses-but the inflation and rate response of the Federal Reserve is noticed.

More information in our economic calendar.


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