Global Economic Outlook: US, Europe Grow More Slowly Than Expected Amid Trade, Geopolitical Tensions

*Changes in compared to the global economic outlook forecast of October 2024. Negative growth rate presented in brackets. Source: Scope rating forecasting, regional and national statistical offices, IMF.Defense, infrastructure spent to reduce strong 2026 growth in Europe Scope expects a strong growth in Europe in 2026 as defense spending increases and governments implement measures to…

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US-China Trade War: China Gains Leverage as US GDP Contracts and Trade Tensions Mount

Robin Brooks, Senior partner at Brookings Institute, Comment, “The United States spent a conversation with itself on China’s tariff this week, called them unstable and said they would come down. Meanwhile, China keeps the yuan stable, portrays itself as stable and estimated. China exploits the uncertain American policy for Max. This business war is winning…

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Sovereign Credit: US Policy Shifts Point to Tariff-light, Trade-war, Economic-crisis Scenarios

If applied, tariffs will represent the largest peacock trade shock for the global economy over 100 years. If continuous, this policy shift will have significant credit implications for both the United States (AAA by scope with negative credit outlook) and both sovereign globally. Conversely, even their complete reversal, although unlikely, will not fully restore the…

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China Gets 64% Tariff Wall as Trump Turns Up the Trade Heat; Yuan Sinks, Stocks Slide

However, discussion can be difficult for European leaders, which face China’s growing dominance in EV and AI regions and pressurize them to diversify trade dependence. The desperation of Europe needs to find an option for America that can play firmly in China’s hands. Daniel Romero underlined China’s EV capacity at Hypertachinwest, They said, “As an…

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