U.S. Payrolls Beat Forecasts, Easing Rate Cut Pressure as Labor Market Holds Firm

The average hourly earnings increased by 0.2% month-month and 3.7% year-on-year, indicating that the wage increase remains stable without triggering immediate inflation concerns. This mixture of stable wage benefits and medium employment growth can give the Federal Reserve a place to maintain its current policy path, monitoring the softening of inflation. Putting on government work…

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Housing Starts Plunge as Layoffs Rise—Is the U.S. Economy Losing Its Momentum?

The single-family rises slightly above 924,000-0.4% above April-for minimal relief. The building permit, a forward -looking indicator, also declined from 2% to 1.393 million, suggesting that the recession may remain in summer. The single-family permit fell 2.7%, while the multi-family authority fell to 444,000 units. Perfection increases, but can builders maintain speed? Housing perfection offered…

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U.S. Jobless Claims Hit 247K; Rising Averages Signal Labor Market Softening

Uncontrolled claims signal seasonal indication Inadvertently, early claims have declined by 1.5%, but the decline was less than 5%, which was weak-to-normal seasonal recruitment activity. Compared to this week in 2024, inadvertently the initial claims are more than 12,000. The insured unemployment on an inappropriate basis also fell from 18,524 to 1.757 million, slightly higher…

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Lagarde Stays Cautious After ECB Rate Cut, EUR/USD Faces Pressure from Trade Risks

The ECB also reduced its 2026 inflation viewing, which cited the economic possibilities of the weak proximity and frequent global trade risks. Inflation of services has become first stubborn, quite cold. Nevertheless, Lagard indicated factors such as protecting the European Union and increasing the infrastructure expenses that could support medium -term development. American trade policy…

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April PCE Falls to 2.1%, Boosting Odds Fed Will Hold Rates Steady in Near Term

More information in our economic calendar.Personal income and expense paint mixed demand photo April also saw an increase of 0.8% in personal income, while disposable income posted a similar 0.8% profit. However, consumer spending increased by just 0.2%, which has been a slowdown for the first months. The actual personal consumption expenditure increased by only…

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Durable Goods Orders Slide 6.3% After Four-Month Climb; Transportation Down 17%

More information in our economic calendar.Defense orders also retreat rapidly The decline in demand related to defense was further exaggerated. Except for defense, the new orders were 7.5%below, reducing government procurement activity during the month. With the equation prevention and transportation, the broad manufacturing approach appears more neutral, suggesting instability in the headline figures cannot…

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Jobless Claims Dip to 227K, But Rising Continuing Claims Signal Labor Market Strain

Constant claims hit the high level of multi-year, pointing to weak reconsideration trends Constant claims for the week ended on May 10 increased from 36,000 to 1.903 million, while the 4-week moving average increased to 1.887 million-the highest level since-November 2021. These figures indicate that unemployed individuals have been excluded over work, an indication that…

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US Flash PMIs Climb to 52.3 as Tariffs Drive Prices to Highest Since August 2022

Price pressure mount in federal reserve focus The value acceleration was widespread-based. Manufacturing production prices recorded their fastest monthly growth since September 2022, while services recorded the highest increase in allegations since April 2023. These tricks, tied directly to the tariffs on imported goods, pushed the overall selling price at the levels not seen since…

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