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Neither side appears willing to back down before President Trump and President Xi meet at the end of the month. However, recent Chinese economic indicators and concerns about slowing US growth could give Beijing the upper hand in trade talks. China’s economic strength increases pressure The US administration wants to cut its dependence on China…
Soybeans and rare earths in focus Soybean imports increased to a record 12.87 million metric tons in September. The September data could potentially set the stage for constructive US-China trade talks at the APEC summit. Before the Golden Week holidays, President Trump criticized China for cutting soybean imports, saying: “Our country’s soybean farmers are suffering…
GDP outlook strengthened despite near-term challenges Despite weak sentiment ahead of the Golden Week holiday, economists continued to raise GDP estimates for 2025. The World Bank projects GDP growth of 4.8%, up from 4.0% in April, while expecting the economy to expand by 4.2% in 2026. The World Bank blamed weak external demand and reduced…
However, a business deal has not been assured, given that China has taken steps to pressurize the US administration to leave the levy. Beijing has targeted American farmers, criticizing the US President, one of Trump’s major polling pools. China Market Research Group (CMR) founder Sean Rain recently commented on China’s ongoing vengeance, stating: “China is…
China’s unemployment rate increased from 5.2% in July to 5.3% in August. Seriously, young unemployment increased by 18.9%, 17.8% in July and 14.5% in June. The rising unemployment and ongoing housing crisis weighing the consumer’s spirit, challenging Beijing’s efforts to promote personal consumption. Retail sales rose year-on-year in August 2025 to 3.7% in July and…
FX Empire – China retail salesConsumption challenge While private consumption is only responsible for about 40% of China’s GDP, weakening of external demand has spotlight on domestic consumption. China continues to rely on investment and export. However, Beijing has pushed to transition to a consumed-powered economy to reduce dependence on external demand. The US tariff…
PBOC remains stable at rates despite growth risk Nevertheless, Beijing appears unrelated about the economic background despite the ongoing effects of the American tariff. People’s Bank of China (PBOC) placed one year and five -year loan prime rates (LPRS) on Monday, 22 September at 3% and 3.5% respectively. Low interest rates may promote credit and…
The possibility of the US banking giant is hopeful that Beijing will promote the economy with meaningful excitement measures, target labor and real estate markets. China’s growing presence in AI space may be another idea. On transmission through American tariffs and third countries, Levi has not stopped China from testing the borders of the Trump…
Call for policy support According to CN Wire, the economists of Goldman Sachs underlined the need for policy support, which states: “Beijing needs to reduce the more target in the quarters coming, given the domestic demand and the weakness in the labor and property markets continues.” Economists said: “Economic weakness is the result of a…
In particular, Trump’s request followed the China-Russia-backed Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO). President Vladimir Putin and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi attended the summit. Targeting China through the European Union, the US has also resumed trade talks with India. Announcing progress towards a deal, President Trump said: “I am happy to declare that India and the…
Trade law and policy reform However, China looked beyond ASEAN countries in the third quarter, exporting to Africa and the European Union cured the influence of American tariffs. Nevertheless, the reports of Beijing, who reviewed the trade laws for the first time since 2004, highlight the continuous dependence on business. According to CN Wire: “China…
China targets Southeast Asia for exports Xi’s emphasis on multilateral relations and regional participation is rapidly opposite Trump’s conservationist trade policies. China Beige Book CEO Leland Miller discussed China’s increasing dominance in an interview with Bloomberg, stating: “I would not call it a status of strength, but given that many countries are getting away from…
Commenting on regional car brands and China’s auto sector, Stanberry Research Editor Brian Tykungko said: “The only Japanese and Korean car brands that will avoid China’s attack will possibly be Toyota, Honda, Kia/Hyundai, Winfast. Others do not have a real strategy to compete and the same tired and boring products are being offered on premium…
Mexico’s tariff news follows a plan to plan to implement the rules of origin for indirect shipment. Natix Asia Pacific’s Chief Economist Alicia Garcia Herero commented on China’s views for business terms, saying: “Realing in the second half will be very difficult. So it is going to hit Chinese exports indirectly. Therefore, the second half…
Hang Seng Mainland Properties Index – Daily Chart – 260825China marketing another potential trigger for equity consumer expenses Monday’s Housing Sector Policy Adjustment promoted investor spirit, which was another important piece of puzzle. Prominent economist Hao Hong recently commented on the possible impact of China equity market recovery on the consumer spirit, saying: “There is…