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*Till December 12, 2025. Ukraine is currently assigned no rating outlook in selective default. Outlooks on long-term issuer ratings are displayed in foreign currencies. Source: Scope Ratings.Rating risks erode potential for strong economic growth, fiscal flexibility The significant geopolitical and fiscal risks outweigh the potential positive effects of strong growth and emerging areas of fiscal…
financial-system risks driven by elevated valuations across many asset classes and long-held expectations of a recovery in rising markets; Leveraging risks in the non-bank financial intermediation sector, including private credit, exposures in the less-regulated artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency sectors; high borrowing rates for long periods of time; and US and global financial regulation. The protectionist…
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Green’s comments reinforced expectations that there may not be a rate cut this year. Economists downplay prospects of Q4 BoE rate cut Ahead of today’s labor market data, ING economists shrugged off expectations of a BOE rate cut in November, saying: “We no longer expect another Bank of England rate cut this year, although low…
Economists hope that on Thursday, September 18, there are two votes in favor of policy relaxation and seven to maintain interest rates at 4%. A higher number of votes to cut rates on Thursday may increase the hopes of adjustment of November policy of November. However, the increase in inflation and wages will require a…
Bank of England may need to see evidence of soft wages. Soft wages can curb the increase spending. A drop expenses and cooling headline inflation may support interest rate cuts. On Thursday, September 18, BOE kept the interest rates at 4%. Severely, the number of votes in favor of the rate cut fell from 5…
More information in our economic calendarWage hike signal hot inflation outlook Strong wage growth of July and stable unemployment can increase consumer spirit and promote expenses. A pickup in consumer expenses can fuel demand-driven inflation, potentially delayed BOE rate cuts by 2026. Today’s data followed the hot-to-adaptable inflation report of July. Britain’s inflation accelerated in…
The growing headline and the underlying inflation and a combination of stable unemployment at 4.7% have complicated the policy stance of BOE. Despite today’s GDP data, BOE will need to see inflation softening and the BOE will increase wages to soften the fashion to give pigeons a strong case to cut rates. Against this background,…
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Last week’s labor market and GDP data cut the 25 base point rate of Bank of England to 4%. However, 5–4 votes in favor of cutting rates underlined the inflation of the Monetary Policy Committee and the split stance on the labor market. Today’s inflation figures reduce the possibility of another cut in September, but…
Bank of England on August 7 reduced the interest rates by 25 basis points. 5-4 votes in favor of cutting rates reflect a divided monetary policy committee, which is likely to focus on inflation. The next UK CPI report, on August 20, will probably be likely to put near-term bets on the BOE rate cut….
Subscribe to information Scan QR Code to install the app Significant disconnectionThe materials provided on the website include general news and publication, our personal analysis and content provided by the third party, which are only for educational and research objectives. It does not form, and should not be read as any recommendation or advice to…
Subscribe to information Scan QR Code to install the app Significant disconnectionThe materials provided on the website include general news and publication, our personal analysis and content provided by the third party, which are only for educational and research objectives. It does not form, and should not be read as any recommendation or advice to…
More information in our economic calendarHotter Inflation Cloud BOE Rate Cut Outlook The inflation report followed the weak-to-adampted GDP numbers, which had speculated about the BOE rate cut. In particular, the UK economy expanded 0.5% in May in three months, below 0.7% in April. Meanwhile, the economy contracted up to 0.1% on a monthly basis,…
BOE Mortgage Market Reform: Targeting Risk Development In a notable innings, BOE lended the mortgage to support development while maintaining financial stability. Individual lenders may now exceed the last 15% high loan-from mortgage cap, although the sector-wide range remains unchanged. The current total share of these loans sits at 9.7%, which is under CAP, with…